Kentucky Derby 2022: Who are the fastest contenders. OVC Tournament Odds: Just How Vulnerable Is Morehead State? The Grade 2, $400,000 Fountain of Youth Stakes , t Hallandale Beach, Fla. Trainers always are searchi Before handicapping the Grade 2, $400,000 San Feli History (1875-2022 Derby Results & Videos), Breeders' Cup Super Screener - Expert Picks. Anything can happen in a 20-horse race, but this is one example of consistent, positive past performances. Using this information to contravene any law or statute is prohibited. In Picking Winners, Beyer claimed a breakthrough when a study of claiming races at Calder Race Course showed Beyer that 1:13 for six furlongs was equally fast to 1:26.1 at seven; from there, Kovitz's math was used to generate perfectly accurate parallel-time and beaten-lengths charts, which Beyer then used to make par times for classes, against which each race is measured to determine if the track is faster or slower than normal. Call 7032375030 for more information. Bet with your head, not over it. ** Get a $150 deposit match from AmWager + Daily Rewards**, Kentucky Derby prep: Gotham Stakes 2023 odds and analysis, Work tab: Cody's Wish drills for 1st time since Breeders' Cup win, Head to Head: Handicapping Fountain of Youth 2023, Romans wins weight battle, now looks to Fountain of Youth, Ky. Derby prep: 1 horse can beat Yakteen 5 in San Felipe. Beyer's subsequent books, "My $50,000 Year at the Races" (1978), "The Winning Horseplayer" (1983), and "Beyer on Speed" (1993) continued to raise racing fans' awareness of the importance of speed figures. table.tableizer-table { background-color: #104E8B; His Beyer Speed Figure of 92 is only 4 points off the second best number. According to the speed figures, Arkansas is the circuit to avoid in this year's Kentucky Derby. . This year, five colts already have surpassed a 102: Taiba, Mo Donegal, Early Voting, all with 111s to their credit, as well as Messier (108) and Zandon (103). .tableizer-table th { Jessica Morgan / Eclipse Sportswire. We'll analyze the Beyer Speed Figures on the prep . ** Get a $150 deposit match from AmWager + Daily Rewards**, Kentucky Derby prep: Gotham Stakes 2023 odds and analysis, Work tab: Cody's Wish drills for 1st time since Breeders' Cup win, Head to Head: Handicapping Fountain of Youth 2023, Romans wins weight battle, now looks to Fountain of Youth, Ky. Derby prep: 1 horse can beat Yakteen 5 in San Felipe. His Brisnet high of 101 is tied with Epicenter. margin: 3px; Below is a closer look at the career best Beyer Speed Figures, Brisnet Speed Ratings and TimeformUS Speed Figures for the North American contenders in the prospective 2022 Kentucky Derby field. Winds ESE at 5 to 10 mph. He earned a Beyer Speed Figure of 121. . Commentator, who once ran a 123 in his career, scored a 120 as a 7-year-old, possibly a record for a horse that old. [2] Flightline earned a 126 speed figure in winning the 2022 Pacific Classic Stakes at Del Mar Racetrack in 2022. Indy are both major stamina influences as broodmare sires and Olympiads family also produced 1987 Ashland Stakes winner Chic Shirine and 2015 Travers Stakes winner Keen Ice. 3-Year-Old Female Older Male Older Female. Its important to look at multiple data points, especially in the case of an unusually high or low number, such as that of Morello. Below is a closer look at the top Beyer Speed Figure, Brisnet Speed Rating and TimeformUS Speed Figure earned by the 2022 Kentucky Derby contenders. [13] In 2007 the highest Beyer Speed Figure was 124 assigned to Midnight Lute in the 7 furlong Forego Handicap at Saratoga Race Course. There is so much to look forward to out there.. Messier earned a 103 Beyer in the Robert B. Lewis Stakes (G3). Beyer Speed Figures favor Epicenter, and it is not very close. We the People (2-1) Skippylongstocking (20-1) . Indy, earned her lone win at 1 1/16 miles and produced Hungry Island and Soaring Empire, both stakes winners around two turns. Flightline, now a 4-year-old, posted an impressive Beyer speed figure of 126 in the Pacific Classic, and continued a five-race string of excellence of 105, 114, 118, 112, and 126 leading into . When considering his chances to excel at 1 miles in the classic, Olympiad gets a nice stamina boost from the bottom half of his pedigree. Below is a closer look at the top Beyer Speed Figure, Brisnet Speed Rating and TimeformUS Speed Figure earned by the 2022 Kentucky Derby contenders. We knew Olympiad was fast he set a new track record of 1:42.01 for 1 1/16 miles at Fair Grounds in winning the Mineshaft Stakes in February but watching him press a fast pace in the Stephen Foster and still finish with a final eighth of a mile in :12.53, according to Equibase, was especially impressive. Obviously the racing surface at Tampa Bay Downs that day was playing slightly faster. USA: After drawing comparisons with the legendary Secretariat for his extraordinary 19-length romp in Saturday's Pacific Classic at Del Mar, Flightline has been awarded a Beyer speed figure of 126 - the second-highest in 31 years. 107. Comparatively, Rock Your World ran a 100-BSF, which paced the 2021 group. Play today with NYRA Bets! Messier and Taiba lead all contenders in the Beyer Speed Figure department. Typically, Kentucky Derby field horses post BSF around or over 90. It has sold approximately 200,000 copies, has been translated into Japanese and Korean, and is still in print after 44 years. Among long shots, Zozos has the best chance to spring an upset, based on speed figures. In two of that year's Kentucky Derby preps, Destin stopped the timer for the 1 1/16 miles of the Tampa Bay Derby in 1:42.82. In the army they called it unity of command. Welcome to 2022 Kentucky Derby Prospect Snapshots, where we'll take a look each week at a recent winner on the Triple Crown trail, usually from the Road to the Kentucky Derby schedule from which the . Sure, there are some extremely talented horses in the Longines Classic division including, among others, Hill n Dale Metropolitan Handicap winner Flightline, Pegasus World Cup victor Life Is Good, and Dubai World Cup Sponsored by Emirates Airline winner Country Grammer, but Olympiad has cemented his status as a top contender and a budding star for owners Grandview Equine, Cheyenne Stables, and LNJ Foxwoods. His victory put him at the top of the 2022 Kentucky Derby leaderboard with a total of 64 points. I've got a good ownership group. This story was posted in Shared News and tagged Beyer Speed Figures, Flightline, Horse Racing, John Sadler, Runhappy Malibu S., Santa Anita, Terry Finley. There were three Kentucky Derby horses that posted 100+ BSFs. NEC Tournament Odds: Merrimack In A One-Horse Race? That's the case for this year's Wood Memorial, where pacesetter Early Voting got a slightly higher TimeformUS Speed Figure than Mo Donegal. Beyer explained that rating a horses ability on just the final time of the race was not good enough, because racing surfaces can vary from day to day based on the weather, how the track is maintained and other factors. Young horses improve with time, typically at a rate of a point per month, so a par for 3-year-old $20,000 claimer could not be accurate in both January and December. . I'm going to take it one step at a time. Morello performed the worst last time out, surprisingly after winning his first three races. But it was a 5-year-old who had the fastest race of the weekend, at least according to two sources. Flightline was given a 118 Beyer figure for his sensational performance in Sunday's GI Runhappy Malibu S. at Santa Anita, which is the top figure assigned to any horse this year. [14] Alysheba ran a 122 speed figure in his career. It is interesting that the 94 Beyer Speed Figure that Secret Oath earned in the Kentucky Oaks puts her right in the mix with the other top contenders. Previewing the 2022 Kentucky Derby. For example, horse "A" has gotten Beyer Speed Figures of 90, 82, and 89 in his last three races. Andrew Beyer and his associates answer selected readers questions about Beyer Speed Figures. I think there will be articles about this later in the week, that they've never seen a horse that is faster. [Related: Kentucky Derby 2022: New scenarios after 3 defections]. On 2016's Derby trail, the top number was the 103 earned by Exaggerator in his victory in the Santa Anita Derby. Pedigree: Olympiad is from the 13th crop of 2004 champion sprinter Speightstown, by Gone West. His 120 was the highest number recorded since Quality Road earned a 121 in 2011. He later was disqualified for a drug overage and runner-up Mandaloun was promoted to the win. With A 118 Beyer, Flightline Heads Into 2022. Only four contenders in this year's prospective Derby field have a Beyer Speed Figure within five points of co-tops Taiba and Messier:Epicenter with a 102 and Zandon, Zozos and Simplification, each of whom have a 98 Beyer to their credit. 97. Used 2014 Audi A6 from Beyer Kia Falls Church in Falls Church, VA, 22046. He's a special horse. Messier, Taiba and Epicenter have run the strongest of the horses in the field. Speed Figures: Nest's speed figures have improved dramatically in her last few starts. Finley said that all decisions regarding a racing schedule will be made by Sadler. It was one point better than the 110 Beyer Speed Figure Life Is Good earned for winning the $3 million Pegasus World Cup in January to rate as the highest figure at more than a mile this year Charge It earned a 111 for winning the Dwyer Stakes at one mile on July 2. (Note that this speed figure was assigned before the numbers were published in the Daily Racing Form, so may not be included in some listings of the top speed figures. The lists provide daily updates of the top Equibase Speed Figures earned in stakes races in support of the Eclipse Awards: 2-Year-Old Male 2-Year-Old Female 3-Year-Old Male. He has had only three 3 starts and has yet to go beyond 1 1/16 miles. The fields for the 14 races that comprise the Breeders Cup World Championships really begin to come into focus in summer and fall, and just last weekend we witnessed several breakout performances. The Stephen Foster was the fifth straight triple-digit Beyer Speed Figure for Olympiad in 2022. 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